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From an Existential Threat to an Existential Disaster

27 Thursday Mar 2025

Posted by Peter in Posts

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cruel-incompetent, democracy, donald-trump, news, politics, rise-up, senator-elissa-slotkin, trumps-future

From an Existential Threat to an Existential Disaster

Just a few short months ago, many were pointing to Donald Trump and his MAGA band as an existential threat to our democracy.  It was a common theme echoed by President Biden and Presidential candidate Kamala Harris, along with editorial boards and pundits, and millions of citizens.  A Trump presidency would perpetuate the lies that the 2000 election was stolen, that the January 6th attack on the Capitol and attempted coup was a peaceful demonstration, that the Justice Department’s prosecution of those that broke the law was, itself, unlawful.

Some commentators were convinced that was all hyperbole.  “The country will be fine;” “what damage could Trump really do;” “could it really be long lasting;” “of course he disparaged Project 2025 as too extreme.”  The old phrase “it can’t happen here” has disappeared as fast as sky writing over a spring-training ball stadium.    

The existential threat, in just a couple of months, is now a reality.

The Democrats don’t know what to do. In fact, they are in circular firing squad mode, especially after Chuck Schumer announced he would support the horrendous continuing resolution, knowing what a shutdown would mean.  The knives are out with screaming matches behind Senate closed doors and anger coming from House Democrats aimed at the Senators.   

Despite the excellent response by Senator Elissa Slotkin (D-MI) to the Trump political harangue at the joint session, most Democrats sat on their hands with their little paddle signs, looking more like they were at a Sotheby’s auction house. Trump has continuously upended and insulted regular order, common decency, and the fundamentals of American democracy.  The only effective and reasonable response from Democrats at the joint session would have been a wholesale walkout ten minutes into his diatribe. 

Here’s where we are:  the political leadership in Washington is paralyzed.  Democrats have no power, Republicans won’t stand up for a single principle or even cast any votes that take on Trump.  Too many are being intimidated by the bully-in-chief and fear his retribution.

Much of the press is cowering, the major law firms are caving, the money managers are frantically counting their money and urging the public to buy Tesla stock and cars. The sell-out culture is replacing the stand-up culture. 

The overriding impact of the Trump/MAGA world can be summed up by two words:  cruel and incompetent.  Whether gutting education, destroying our environment, removing health and food aid around the world, eliminating help for our veterans and seniors, and cozying up to dictators and despots, Trump has made clear he is out to destroy our government.  His main legislative achievement will be big tax breaks for the wealthiest Americans at the expense of everyone else. But time after time, this is the crew that has shown devastating incompetence.  Trump and Musk and his minions have absolutely no clue what they are doing and no understanding of government. They don’t care about the fallout or the people they hurt.  But now, as they say, the whole world is watching and Americans everywhere are noticing and fired up.

The latest national security nightmare of using the commercial Signal app to lay bare the attack plans on Houthi rebels in Yemen, while inadvertently  including the Editor in Chief of the Atlantic magazine, was possibly the most serious self-imposed security breach in U.S. history. And now they are all lying about it. The National Security Agency (NSA) specifically cautioned not to use the app in February. This all is blatant incompetence.

So, why am I optimistic, or at least hopeful, that we can turn the country around?

Here is how I believe this is going to play out.  While Congress and the Washington elite are initially unable to navigate the ongoing damage, the grassroots are rising up. Sure, the courts are going to push back and determine that much of what Trump is doing is illegal and unconstitutional.  There will be some victories for democracy, but not nearly enough. Those court decisions and the continuation of Trump as an out-of-control dictatorial  executive, wreaking havoc on the country, is pushing citizens to the breaking point.

As Medicare and Medicaid and Social Security are cut people will get angry, very angry.  As food aid and school lunches disappear, people will rebel?  As the tax breaks for billionaires are passed, people will think “I still can’t afford groceries or a new car!” As health care becomes more costly and more difficult to get, people will wonder “who would do this”?  As the chaos grows and the effects multiply, the people will become increasingly fed up.  They will pressure their elected representatives and demand action.

Just as people rose up on the issues of civil rights and the war in Vietnam in the 1960s, so too they will take on Trump and the policies that are devastating entire communities, policies that are contrary to what we believe as Americans.  This is what we are seeing in town after town, town meeting after town meeting.  People are finding their voice and it won’t be silenced. This will not stand.  And, yes, it will grow and, yes, elections are just around the corner.

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From Democracy to Dictatorship–Is America Going the Way of Hungary

13 Thursday Feb 2025

Posted by Peter in Posts

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democracy, donald-trump, hungary, maga, news, politics, project-2025, viktor-orban

From Democracy to Dictatorship—Is America Going the Way of Hungary?

The calamitous first weeks of the second Trump Presidency look very little like his first term.  Aside from the similar rantings and harsh rhetoric of both inaugural addresses this administration is making no effort to adhere to established norms of a modern-day democracy.   Trump and MAGA have rejected reasonable appointments and pragmatic policy prescriptions and, instead, set in motion retribution, revenge and a wholesale executive takeover – blowing up the government – intent on ignoring the law and the constitution and 250 years of democratic tradition.

They are deliberately testing America’s patience, and the world’s.

It is at first hard to believe.  But not if you look at the many signals that have been hiding in plain sight.  His staff and appointees have been clear about their agenda to dismantle government from the get-go.  The blueprint of Project 2025 has been their playbook, with two-thirds of his initial executive orders taken right from it according to CNN, and the focus on demonizing immigrants and government have been front and center since Trump came down that escalator in 2015.  Trump’s coy pre-election denials about Project 2025 last year were always laughable.

If you look at one tell-tale sign of where this is headed look straight to Viktor Orban and what has transpired in Hungary.  Many like to point to past dictatorships such as Hitler and Mussolini but we need to look no further than recent Hungarian history. 

Let me get personal.  In the spring and summer of 1990 I spent quite a bit of time in Hungary after the fall of the Soviet Union, the advent of elections and the growth of Hungary’s political parties.  My colleagues and I were part of a group from the National Endowment for Democracy and the National Democratic Institute to assist in encouraging and helping parties with the elections to establish their fledgling democracy.  We were given barbed wire pieces of the Iron Curtain by the American Ambassador when we met with him as symbols of a hopeful future for Hungary.

We were young; we were energetic; we felt we were doing important work.  We were helping a number of political parties but one that caught our eye was Fidesz, a group of

30-somethings who had formed the Alliance of Young Democrats in 1988, were center left and committed to a civil society.  They were smart, understood politics, and were well educated on policy – and they were fun to drink beer with after the meetings!

There were a number of key leaders of Fidesz — at the top, Viktor Orban, and close behind Gabor Fodor, Peter Molnar and Klara Ingar. They were committed in the early 1990s to civil rights, joined the Liberal International and were considered an example of an open, progressive, pro-democracy youth movement. In the late 1980s they were an underground collection of anti-communists who rejected authoritarianism.

That changed quickly as Viktor Orban moved the party to the right, and leaders like Fodor, Molnar and Ingar left the party in the late ‘90s.  Orban increasingly became a strongman but not quite strong enough as he lost power in 2002 due to scandals and splits within his coalition.  Not a good first term (1998-2002), sound familiar?

By 2010, Viktor Orban was back in power – no longer the young Oxford-educated disciple of the George Soros Foundation where he worked, but very much a changed man.  For the last 15 years Orban has put in place a plan of “Christian illiberal democracy” that has become the MAGA example for Donald Trump, Steve Bannon, Tucker Carlson and the members of the Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC) which will be part of Hungary CPAC for the fourth consecutive year at the end of May.  They are joined at the hip.

Orban and Hungary are also the model for the Heritage Society’s Project 2025.  The President of the Heritage Foundation, Kevin Roberts, said in December of 2022:

“Modern Hungary is not just a model for conservative statecraft but the model for Americans, Brits, Spaniards, Australians—everyone should learn from it.”

Learn from it they have.  What we are seeing at the beginning of Trump’s second term is just what we have seen from Orban’s lengthy second term:

*A PARTY BUILT ON ANGER TOWARD GOVERNMENT AND SUPPORT FOR RIGHT WING POPULISM

*A PARTY BUILT ON ANTI-IMMIGRANT FERVOR

*A PARTY COMMITTED TO UNDERMINING THE JUDICIARY AND THE RULE OF LAW

*A PARTY THAT REJECTS CHECKS AND BALANCES AND USES “EMERGENCY MEASURES” TO EXERT EXECUTIVE AUTHORITY

*A PARTY THAT CONDEMNS THE MEDIA AND TAKES OVER THE TRADITIONAL FACT BASED, FREE PRESS

*A PARTY THAT UNDERMINES FREE AND FAIR ELECTIONS

*A PARTY THAT FANS THE FLAMES OF VIOLENCE AND GOVERNS BY FEAR

What is the result? An electoral autocracy that uses the unitary executive power theory to control a nation. 

What Orban did in Hungary to fire up his base with right wing populism and demonizing immigrants and focusing on so-called government “corruption”, Trump is doing in the United States. What Orban did to the judiciary with appointments and upending the entire judicial system, Trump is attempting by co-opting the Justice Department  and appointing and electing loyalists.  What Orban did in Hungary by creating a Media Authority and taking over independent media, Trump is intent on doing by embracing  favored outlets and undermining and intimidating media that isn’t favorable to him. What Orban did by condemning elections that did not go his way and then changing the rules, Trump is fast becoming a master of manipulation.  And, finally, what Orban has done to exert ultimate executive authority, Trump and Musk and their MAGA minions believe is coming quicker than you could ever imagine.

“There is a great leader in Europe—Viktor Orban…he is the prime minister of Hungary.  He is a very great leader, a very strong man.”  Donald Trump, January 2024.

“I think Orban made smart decisions that we could learn from in the U.S.”  J.D. Vance, June 2024

“We have entered the programme-writing system of President Donald Trump’s team, and we have deep involvement there.”  Viktor Orban, July 2024

As each day passes, Trump joins the “Dictator’s Club.”  He snubs our democratic allies and embraces Vladimir Putin and Viktor Orban and turns over the people’s house to the richest man in the world and lead oligarch, Elon Musk. Trump and Musk attack the courts where over 50 lawsuits are pending against their illegal and unconstitutional actions to gut the safety net, fire federal workers and shut down agencies and programs that help Americans every day. 

The writing is on the wall. It is up to us to see it and understand it and do something about it. Now, it is up to us to flood the zone.  All hands on deck – fund and support the legal challenges, elect leaders who will battle the march toward authoritarianism at the local level and in Congress, protest the actions and stand up for health care, education, the environment, and lobby our elected officials to stay strong.  Flood the zone with phone calls and visits and attendance at town meetings. Rise up and don’t give up.

It is time to save our courts, save our free press, save our government that has saved us and the world for over two centuries.  We are not a dictatorship. We are not Hungary or 1930s Germany.  We are a beacon for democracy and freedom.  Let’s keep it that way.

For a thorough and enlightening history of Orban’s takeover of Hungary and the Trump link see:

https://ecfr.eu/publication/the-orbanisation-of-america-hungarys-lessons-for-donald-trump/

Also:

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-67832416

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fidesz

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Viktor_Orb%C3%A1n

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FennMessengerTrump&Rs

26 Friday Jan 2024

Posted by Peter in Posts

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Tags

democracy, donald-trump, joe-biden, news, politics

OPINION

THE VIEWS EXPRESSED BY CONTRIBUTORS ARE THEIR OWN AND NOT THE VIEW OF THE MESSENGER

How to Put Democracy First and Defeat Donald Trump

Published 01/19/24 09:00 AM ET|Updated 01/19/24 02:38 PM ET

Peter Fenn

The results in Iowa show that Donald Trump is on a roll with his Republican base, winning over 50% of the vote in a multi-candidate field.

Trump accomplished this by doubling down on his MAGA message and repeating his falsehoods about the 2020 elections and January 6. In fact, nearly two-thirds of all Iowa caucus voters said Biden did not legitimately win the presidency in 2020. Trump’s victory was by no means due to tacking towards the middle — appealing to moderate Republicans. If anything, his rhetoric got more strident and extreme.

Edison Research, which surveyed Iowa caucus voters in 2016 and 2024, showed the only major demographic where Trump lost support from 2016 to 2024 was among Republican moderates. He dropped from 34% to 20%, a loss of 14 points.

Trump may be on a roll with Republicans, but he may get rolled by mainstream voters as the campaign progresses. 

Trump’s frontal assault on “rigged” elections, the courts, the rule of law, and democratic values may turn out be his Achilles heel. 

Here’s why: a vocal, united and bipartisan voice for democracy is growing throughout the country as Trump’s nomination becomes increasingly inevitable. This will be one of the longest general election campaigns in American history, starting in March and extending for eight months. Trump will not be able to escape the scrutiny of such a long campaign. As the existential threat of a second Trump presidency is seen as a real possibility, more leaders and voters may find it unacceptable. 

Here’s an example of how the issue of preserving and protecting democracy may undercut Trump’s message. In the summer and fall of 2023, a poll was conducted of nearly 300 former members of Congress on issues related to the 2020 Presidential election, the January 6, 2021, attack on the Capitol and political violence. The poll was sponsored by the Association of Former Members of Congress (FMC) and done by the University of Massachusetts. Similar questions were asked of a national sample of the American public.

Read More

  • Presidential Centers Call for A Commitment to Democracy from Elected Officials
  • The Donald Trump’s Big Lie that the 2020 election was stolen and its lasting damage to American democracy
  • Will the 2024 Election Produce a ‘January 6’ on Steroids?
  • Kevin McCarthy Endorses Donald Trump in 2024 Presidential Election
  • Biden: Commitment to Democracy ‘Is What the 2024 Election Is All About’
  • Trump Legal Cases Force SCOTUS Showdowns With Major Implications for 2024 Election and Americans’ Views on Democracy

What was remarkable in the polling of former members was how alike the views were of the Democrats and Republicans and how former Republican members differed from current members and Republicans in the general public.

Democratic former members were nearly universal in their view that Joe Biden’s victory was legitimate, but surprisingly over 80% of Republican former members also agreed. Among national polls, only about 30% of voting-age Republicans believe Biden legitimately won in 2020.

In addition, about two-thirds of Republican former members believe Trump’s efforts to claim he won the 2020 elections threaten democracy. Yet, around 20% or fewer of voting-age Republicans generally said the same. Few current Republican members are willing to call out Trump, but the same may not be true for former members.

The question this survey raises is whether former office holders across the country,

Republican or Democrat, are concerned enough to confront Trump in 2024. A strong argument could be made that former local officials who are respected in their communities and have no political ambitions ahead of them would participate in an organized effort to influence the 2024 presidential election and deny Trump four more years. 

In an unprecedented action last fall, 13 Republican and Democratic presidential libraries from Hoover to Bush and FDR to Obama signed a strong statement to warn of the fragile state of American democracy and to recognize the importance of dealing with widespread rejection of our election results, attacks on our judicial system, and propensity for increased violence. This bipartisan effort, of nearly a century of American presidents, sent a clear message outlining the threat we face.

What would be the impact of a 50-state project to bring together ex-elected officials who are free to speak their minds, regardless of party?

In addition to former members of Congress this could include state legislators, former statewide office holders (governors, attorneys general, secretaries of state, etc.), former mayors, city council members, school board members, and other local officials. These would be women and men who care deeply about their country, who are respected in their communities, and who will take a stand as we approach November of 2024. In short, these would be people who are willing to reject the politics and persona of Donald Trump for the sake of preserving democracy.

Yes, it would take courage for many, but it is a cause worthy of the calling.

The key would be to build up this opposition, involve them in grassroots activity, get large amounts of press attention, use their networks, and form a bipartisan coalition to influence soft Republicans and independents. Ads, literature drops, rallies, blitzing news outlets, get-out-the-vote activity — March to November is plenty of time to get it done.

Peter Fenn is a long-time Democratic political strategist who served on the Senate Intelligence Committee, was a top aide to Sen. Frank Church and was the first director of Democrats for the 80s, founded by Pamela Harriman. He also co-founded the Center for Responsive Politics/Open Secrets. He serves on the board of the Frank Church Institute. Follow him on Twitter @peterhfenn.

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